We provide two useful data displays : 1) Ratings and Stats, 2) Trading Odds
1) Speed ratings are compiled for every UK horse race, using our own standard times and class pars. Adjustments are made for any changes to the published race distance (due to rail movements etc). An accurate assessment of the going is produced as part of the calculation, which is on the same scale as the BHA going-stick readings, for easy comparison. The final speed figure for each horse is then a very accurate assessment of how fast it ran on that day.
Each horse’s previous speed ratings are processed alongside our own Handicap ratings, using various weightings for Last Time Out, 2nd to 7th relevant (same code) runs, speed/class ratio, distance filters etc., then combined with statistics for jockey, trainer and stallion performance, and factors for today’s weight, going and draw conditions, giving a final single Predictive Rating for today’s race (on a normalised scale of 70-100).
The Predictive Ratings are then fed into our pricing engine, where they produce Trading Odds using a statistical model.
2) How to Win using MyHorseOdds Trading Odds :-
Back horses at higher than or equal to the price displayed in the BackMin column, to the right of the horse’s name. This ensures we are always betting at 50% value or better (or the value setting you have entered), when compared to our Win price (left column, indicating the calculated true chance of winning). If the price you require is not currently available, enter your required price as an order and wait for it to be matched if the price drifts.
We suggest using a maximum Win price (left column) of 16.0. Our tests show consistent profits up to this point. Some people may want to have a maximum Win price of say 7.0 or 10.0, or use the top half of the field as displayed in price order, or only bet the top 3 or 4 when value (any of which will affect the number of value bets placed). Another ploy is to set a minimum trading price of say 10.0 or 14.0.
Lay horses at lower than or equal to prices than displayed in the LayMax column. Max trading price of 6.0 at Betfair Exchange SP is a good idea.
All odds quoted are decimal format including stake.
EXAMPLE RACE ASSESSMENT :
6.05 Kempton 26.11.2020
Our Speed Ratings for LastTimeOut to 7th relevant runs, with Stats for Draw, Jockey, Trainer, Stallion and Weight(today), all individually balanced to form Predictive Ratings for today’s race :
Predictive Ratings are converted into Trading Odds using our bespoke pricing engine. 50% profit margins are calculated for Backing and for Laying :
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